Presidential poll reliability
Posted by Pat McGovern on February 15, 2007 @ 1:01 pm
There was a really interesting article published yesterday by Nilanthi Samaranayake and Scott Keeter of the Pew Research Center on the reliability of early polls in presidential elections. There are some interesting results here. It is fun just to be reminded of some of the foregone conclusions of yesteryear. For instance, Mondale was ahead of Reagan by 6 points in Feb. 1983. Wow, there’s something that’s easy to forget considering how it turned out! Enjoy.
Pat McG
